Football · Panini Donruss Optic Downtown · Steal Sheet #1 pick · Medium confidence
Is the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Josh Allen #2 worth grading?
Last updated
The biggest PSA 10 multiple of the football picks (about 2.3× the PSA 9), but it's a coin flip on the 10.
Max buy price
$858.47
incl. shipping · highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI · $739.46 if PSA bills at the PSA 10 tier
GRADEThe live Buy It Now ($856.07 incl. shipping) sits above recent raw sales ($680–$800, Sep 19 – Oct 5). The seller takes offers, so offer closer to recent sales and never above the max buy price.
Updated 2026-10-17.
Card data
- Set
- Panini Donruss Optic Downtown
- Year
- 2024
- Card #
- 2
- Raw average
- $717.31
- PSA 9
- $800.00
- PSA 10
- $1,824.00
- PSA pop
- 222 PSA 10s of 444 graded
- Gem rate
- 50.0%
Sources: SportsCardsPro averages as of Oct 17, 2026; PSA pop unchanged since Oct 14-16.
Last PSA 9 sales: $799.99 (Sep 8), $775 (Aug 25). Last PSA 10 sales: $2,250 (Oct 3), $1,824 (Sep 22), $1,650 (Sep 8).
eBay Buy It Now: $856.07 on eBay (live Oct 17, Buy It Now incl. shipping, seller accepts offers, eBay Authenticity Guarantee).
Grading math
- Cost basis (raw average)
- $717.31
- PSA fee
- $79.99 · PSA Priority
- Shipping + insurance
- $10.00
- PSA 10 price / chance
- $1,824.00 · 50.0%
- PSA 9 price / chance
- $800.00 · 50.0%
- Marketplace fee
- 13.25%
GRADE
Expected ROI 41.0% clears your 20% target.
- All-in cost
- $807.30
- Expected value (after fees)
- $1,138.16
- Expected profit
- $330.86
- Expected net ROI
- 41.0%
- Gross ROI (before selling fees)
- 64.6%
- Break-even PSA 10 odds
- 12.8%
How we got there
Expected graded value = 50.0% × $1,824.00 + 50.0% × $800.00 = $1,312.00. That sets the PSA tier: $79.99 covers declared values up to $1,500.00. After a 13.25% marketplace fee, the expected sale nets $1,138.16 against an all-in cost of $807.30. Our bar for a GRADE is 20% expected net ROI, which caps what you should pay at $858.47.
The scout's own gross estimate was about +69% (before selling fees and shipping). Our net figure is lower because it includes those costs.
Upcharge risk: a PSA 10 here is worth $1,824.00, above the $1,500.00 cap. If PSA bills at the 10 value ($199.00 tier), expected net ROI drops to 22.9% (GRADE).
Confidence: Medium. The gem rate (50%) only just clears the 45% bar.
What to check before you buy or submit
- Centering front and back (Downtown/Optic borders show off-center fast)
- Corners under magnification — any softness kills the 10
- Edges for chipping, especially on dark/foil designs
- Surface print lines, dimples and scratches under angled light
- Buy only NM-sharp copies; judge from real photos, not stock images
Pop-report gem rates describe every copy ever graded, not the one in front of you. Comps and listings move; re-check prices before buying. See this pick in Steal Sheet #1 and on the track record.
FAQ
Is the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Josh Allen #2 worth grading?
Yes, at the right price. At a $717.31 cost basis, expected net ROI is 41.0% after the $79.99 PSA fee, $10.00 shipping and insurance, and a 13.25% selling fee. That clears our 20% bar for a GRADE.
What's the most I should pay for a raw 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Josh Allen #2?
$858.47, including shipping. That is the highest raw price that still clears 20% expected net ROI at the $79.99 PSA tier. If PSA bills at the PSA 10 value instead, the cap drops to $739.46.
What is the PSA 10 gem rate for the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Josh Allen #2?
50.0%: 222 PSA 10s out of 444 graded, per the PSA population report as of October 17, 2026. That rate covers every copy ever graded, so inspect your own copy's centering, corners, edges and surface before counting on a 10.
Which PSA service level fits the 2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Josh Allen #2?
Expected graded value is $1,312.00 (50.0% × $1,824.00 + 50.0% × $800.00), which puts it in PSA Priority at $79.99. A PSA 10 is worth $1,824.00, above that tier's cap, so PSA may upcharge to the $199.00 tier. Fees change often; confirm on psacard.com before you submit.
Not financial advice. See the disclaimer.